4th Wave's Information Appliance Market Report
ExecutiveSummary
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Table of Contents
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
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Information Appliance Market
|
i
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| AUTHORS | Biography |
vi
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| 4TH WAVE | Company Background |
viii
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| INTRODUCTION | Study Overview What Lies Beyond the PC? |
1
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| CHAPTER 1 | The Next Era of Computing Going Beyond the PC Characteristics of Transitions Getting to 1 Billion Units |
4
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| CHAPTER 2 | The Innovator’s Dilemma Disruptive Technology Steps for Success Failures Application to IA Market |
7
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| CHAPTER 3 | Lessons of History History as a Teacher Waves of Innovation Past Technology Shapes the Future Easing the Burden of Life Time Crisis Infrastructure Threshold Products |
12
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| CHAPTER 4 | Demographics and GDP Scoping the Market Population Estimates Gross Domestic Product and the Role of Computing Real Growth in Consumer Spending Consumer Spending by Income Level Worldwide GDP GDP Implications |
22
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| CHAPTER 5 | Pricing, Volume
and Markets Pricing as a Factor in Markets GDP Price Elasticity for Consumer Spending Consumer Electronics Product and Service Disconnect |
30
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| CHAPTER 6 | PC Market Worldwide PC Market US PC Market |
37
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| CHAPTER 7 | Key Factors Shaping the Market Key Factors Challenges of the Key Factors Embedded Microprocessor Market MIPS are Free 32-bit Embedded Microprocessor Market Pervasive Connectivity Pervasive Connectivity and Location Bringing Pervasive Connectivity to the Home Pervasive Connectivity to the Automobile |
41
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| CHAPTER 8 | Government Having the Government as Your Friend in the Market Federal Communications Commission Congress Digital Dozen Senator John McCain The Effect |
52
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| CHAPTER 9 | Infrastructure Infrastructure as Part of the Market Diversity of the Infrastructure Components of the IA Market System on a Die - It is Not Just System on a Chip |
57
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| CHAPTER 10 | US Services and Media Services as a Market Advertising Newspapers Books Television Cable vs. Broadcast Television Cable DTV Television Sets for DTV Satellite Television Telephone Cellular Telephony Television Content Market Cellular Phone Units 5th Era Transition is Underway |
62
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| CHAPTER 11 | Platform, Products, Content
and Services Setting the Framework for the Market Emergence It’s a Platform Where Does the PC Fit? Is it Product, Service or Content? Business Models Content |
82
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| CHAPTER 12 | Home Home as a Platform Penetration Utilities in the Household Determining the Service and Content to Product Ratio Non-penetrating Products and Services Casual Media Home Networking Openness vs. Proprietary Out of Box Concepts Does this Set-top Have a Future? Home Assistant Set-top vs. Home Assistant |
90
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| CHAPTER 13 | Market Analysis Building on a Methodology Driving the Market with Value for the Consumer Product and Service Categories Total Available Market Key Events Drive Market Timing Market Scenario and Estimate |
106
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| CHAPTER 14 | Assessment Strategic Market Assessment Technology Shortfalls Near Term Market Opportunities Summary of the Market Dynamics |
116
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| APPENDIX | ||
| Figure 1 | Cumulative Real $ Growth | |
| Figure 2 | Consumer Spending by Income Level, 1997 | |
| Figure 3-5 | Country Ranking by Population, GDP and GDP/Capita | |
| Figure 6-8 | Units Vs. ASP | |
| Figure 9-13 | US Consumer Electronics US Consumer Electronics Market US Consumer Television Market |
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| Figure 14-18 | PC Market Worldwide Region PC Unit Share PC Home Market |
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| Figure 19 | Microprocessor Market | |
| Figure 20 | $ Per MIPS | |
| Figure 21-22 | Advertising by Type Vs. Time Advertising Share by Type | |
| Figure 23-24 | Number of US Newspapers
Measured Media Newspaper Advertising Spending |
|
| Figure 25 | US Book Statistics | |
| Figure 26-27 | US Television Stations
Television Advertising Spending |
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| Figure 28 | Cable and Television Revenues | |
| Figure 29 | Television Ratings | |
| Figure 30-31 | US Cable Subscribers
US Monthly Basic Cable Rate |
|
| Figure 32-33 | DTV Buildout Schedule, US, 1998-2003 | |
| Figure 34 | Digital Television Sets, 1999-2005 | |
| Figure 35 | DTH Subscribers | |
| Figure 36-38 | US Telephone Total Service
Revenue US Telephone Revenue by Type US Telephone Revenue Share by Type |
|
| Figure 39 | Average US Residential Rates for Local Phone Service | |
| Figure 40-42 | US Total Cellular Phone
Market US Cellular Phone Subscribers US Average Monthly Cellular Phone Bill |
|
| Figure 43-44 | US Cellular Vs. LEC Phone
Market Growth US Cellular Vs. LEC Market Growth Rate |
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| Figure 45 | Digital Set-top Boxes | |
| Tables | Information Appliance
Product Categories Market Scenario Market Definitions |